Aircraft Trajectory Prediction in Air Traffic Control Systems
Abstract
Purpose: One of the ways to improve air traffic efficiency and safety is aircraft trajectory prediction. It helps to update and correct the flight plans according to the radar surveillance data, to perform short-term and middle-term conflict detection, to optimize arrival and departure management, to allocate secondary surveillance radar code. The goal of this research is to develop prediction tools for 4D aircraft trajectory simulation and to evaluate their prediction accuracy. Methods: Airborne autopilot simulation is used. In the simulation of the aircraft trajectory, it is presumed that the aircraft follows the planned route and has nominal flight modes during its climb, cruise and descend. The proposed approach is based on the recommendations formulated in the technical requirements of the European Organization for the Safety of Air Navigation. Results: Synthesis of aircraft trajectory prediction tools for air traffic control systems has been discussed. Heightspeed flight profile calculation helps to estimate the aircraft motion parameters in each waypoint along the route. The efficiency of the algorithms is demonstrated by the comparison of the heightspeed profiles of a real flight trajectory and its prediction. Practical relevance: The obtained results can be used in developing software for modern air traffic control systems to predict 4D aircraft trajectories.Published
2015-08-01
How to Cite
Kiselev, V., & Monakov, A. (2015). Aircraft Trajectory Prediction in Air Traffic Control Systems. Information and Control Systems, (4), 33-40. Retrieved from http://proceedings.spiiras.nw.ru/index.php/ius/article/view/4352
Issue
Section
System and process modeling