The basics of logical-and-probabilistic risk theory with groups of incompatible events
Abstract
A brief description of basic statements of the logical-and-probabilistic risk theory with groups of incompatible events, its applications and its features in the context of the modeling problem and risk analysis in complex systems in the areas of management and econometrics is given. The main idea of the approach is introduction into the statistical data base groups of incompatible events or finite sets, that allows to receive the LP-equation system or the knowledge base, use the logical-and-probabilistic calculus, and resolve new tasks - risks, efficiency and management.